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A new poll by SurveyUSA shows that more than half of likely voters in the upcoming recall election of Governor Gavin Newsom say they would vote to recall the current Governor of California. According to the poll, 51% of respondents specified that they would vote to remove Governor Gavin Newsom from office. On the other hand, 40% said they would vote "no" on the ballot to recall Newsom.
A large number of registered Republican voters support removing Newsom from office. Most Democrats that responded to the poll said they do not support removing the current Governor from office.
Currently, the Democratic favorite among polls is Kevin Paffrath, a Southern California real estate broker, and Youtube star. Paffrath currently has 27% support. Behind Paffrath, Larry Elder, conservative radio host, and a Republican, has 23% support. Paffrath and Elder are so close in the polls, within the 5.4 percentage point "credibility interval", they could be considered to be in a statistical dead heat.
John Cox, a Rancho Santa Fe businessman is the only other candidate that has double-digit support with 10% support amongst voters.
This SurveyUSA poll spoke to 1,100 adults between August 2nd-4th. 613 respondents identified themselves as "likely voters"; 888 said they were registered to vote. 10% of respondents said they were not going to vote in the upcoming recall as another 10% answered it was a 50/50 they would vote.
There were 545 people who answered they planned to vote for a replacement. 11% of respondents said they would leave the question blank.
As to why likely voters would vote to remove Newsom from office, approximately 1/3 said they would remove the California Governor due to his response to COVID-19 while 18% cited Newsom's budget as their reason to remove the Governor from office.
The recall election of Gavin Newsom takes place on September 14th. Ballots will be arriving by mail in the next few days and weeks.