Orange County's Hopeful COVID-19 Trends Continue

SANTA ANA (CNS) - Orange County's promising COVID-19 trends continue, with only 69 new cases reported and hospitalizations stable.

With Thursday's newly announced numbers, the cumulative case count rose to 253,275. The county also logged eight more COVID-19 fatalities, but one of those occurred in December, as there are commonly lengthy delays in the accounting of the deaths. The overall death toll now stands at 4,910.

The number of COVID patients in county hospitals remained at 110, the same as Wednesday, and the number of those in intensive care units decreased from 23 to 22.

The county has 35.5% of its ICU beds available and 74% of its ventilators.

“The numbers are looking great in Orange County,'' Andrew Noymer, a UC Irvine professor of population health and disease prevention, told City News Service on Wednesday.

Noymer analyzed data from states across the country and noted that while some are struggling with upswings in cases, that is not the case in California.

“We definitely don't seem to be going the way of Michigan,'' he said. “New Jersey's not great, Rhode Island's not great, but Michigan is far and away the only Michigan. I'm liking the numbers in Orange County today. California is doing the best of the lower 48.''

Noymer added, “I would really love to see those hospitalizations below 100 anytime soon.''

Meanwhile, Providence, the national nonprofit healthcare provider, partnered with Edwards Lifesciences, an Orange County-based medical technology company, and the cities of Irvine, Santa Ana, Costa Mesa and Tustin to open two mass vaccination clinics.

One opened Wednesday at the Edwards Lifesciences offices at 3009 Daimler St. in Santa Ana, and the other at the Orange County Great Park in Irvine will open on Monday as a drive-thru clinic.

Noymer said it is probably time to turn over vaccinations to traditional healthcare providers such as pharmacies.

“Just do it through Rite-Aid, CVS and Walgreens,'' he said. “Just do it the way we do the flu vaccine, which works. The politicians have gotten their mileage out of the photo-op mega sites. ... It's not what we really need.''

The pharmacies could do more vaccinations with more supply, Noymer said.

“Mega sites are for the hyper motivated'' vaccine seekers, he said.

Soon, the focus will need to turn to reaching the residents who are more resistant to vaccines, Noymer said.

“The hard-core anti-vaxxers will pay a fine before they're vaccinated,'' he said. “I think there are some people who claim they won't get it who are amenable to getting a shot.''

Coronavirus daily case rates continue to decline, but not enough for Orange County to move into the less-restrictive yellow tier of the state's Blueprint for a Safer Economy.

According to numbers released Tuesday, the county's weekly averages for adjusted daily case rate per 100,000 residents improved from 3 last Tuesday to 2.8. The overall positivity rate improved from 1.6% to 1.4%.

The county's Health Equity Quartile rate, which measures positivity in hotspots in disadvantaged communities, improved from 1.8% to 1.7%. The county's positivity rates qualify for the least-restrictive yellow tier of the state system, but the case counts are still in the orange tier.

A graduation into the yellow tier requires that the case rate must get below 2 per 100,000 population.

Another 10,511 COVID-19 tests were logged Thursday for a total of 3,578,578.

The eight additional deaths logged Thursday raised the death toll in December to 931 and 1,509 in January. Those were the deadliest months since the pandemic began, with fatalities fueled by holiday activities.

The death toll so far in April is eight. The death toll for March stands at 170, and 573 for February.

Photo: Getty Images

Copyright 2021, City News Service, Inc.

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